Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.353546 0.412259 0.477878 0.556694 0.648858 0.753305 0.880782
2025-01-19 0.260251 0.336918 0.432097 0.559152 0.724681 0.933538 1.217924
2025-01-26 0.220886 0.307222 0.422431 0.587860 0.820148 1.135976 1.600221
2025-02-02 0.193819 0.285765 0.415887 0.614204 0.910299 1.338367 2.008598
2025-02-09 0.171375 0.265688 0.406098 0.631414 0.986203 1.527219 2.422215
2025-02-16 0.151249 0.245180 0.391462 0.637236 1.043068 1.692166 2.820318
2025-02-23 0.133093 0.224637 0.373141 0.633282 1.081817 1.831118 3.193566
2025-03-02 0.115545 0.202354 0.348535 0.614598 1.091931 1.921916 3.495245
2025-03-09 0.106936 0.193969 0.345829 0.632505 1.166710 2.131852 4.035924
2025-03-16 0.097185 0.182138 0.335362 0.634640 1.212466 2.294537 4.510805
2025-03-23 0.090104 0.174204 0.330748 0.646618 1.277505 2.500190 5.096068
2025-03-30 0.081118 0.161454 0.315469 0.635844 1.296393 2.618484 5.521906
2025-04-06 0.073551 0.150724 0.303118 0.629982 1.325828 2.764554 6.033855
2025-04-13 0.067766 0.142893 0.295614 0.633178 1.374776 2.957929 6.678630
2025-04-20 0.065394 0.141827 0.301714 0.665773 1.490858 3.308917 7.726858
2025-04-27 0.062918 0.140197 0.306363 0.695696 1.604939 3.670635 8.855176
2025-05-04 0.059773 0.136674 0.306436 0.715247 1.697845 3.996697 9.948540
2025-05-11 0.055938 0.131101 0.301247 0.721861 1.761070 4.261755 10.932277
2025-05-18 0.051713 0.124091 0.291923 0.717369 1.796676 4.465014 11.790072
2025-05-25 0.046850 0.114969 0.276575 0.696143 1.787679 4.556692 12.369384
2025-06-01 0.044946 0.112849 0.277752 0.716486 1.887717 4.938509 13.792165
2025-06-08 0.042178 0.108231 0.272247 0.718911 1.941026 5.205746 14.938930
2025-06-15 0.040227 0.105466 0.271054 0.732519 2.026260 5.569844 16.420565